Categoría: Previous Issues Articles

F. M. C. P.

We know we’ve raised it before, but we realized yesterday that it was worth another reminder as none of our concerns were raised during the transparency discussions: the Facilitative, Multilateral Consideration of Progress (FMCP) will only be effective if it builds on the expertise and perspectives of civil society. Unless you step up, we risk ruining what could be a constructive process. So let us try present- ing it in a different medium…namely, in a song! We sincerely hope you get this song stuck in your head.

(The song should be read in a sing-song-y voice to the tune of Village People’s YMCA)

Party, there’s a place we can go.
I said, Party, let us compliment your info
You can play there, and I’m sure we will find
Many ways to have a good time

It’s fun to be – a – part of the F.M.C.P.
It’s fun to be – a – part of the F.M.C.P.

We could provide info, we could send in questions,
We will add some action…

Party, are you listening to me?
I said, Party, what do you want to be?
I said, Party, you can make the PA strong.
But you got to know this one thing!
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The New Article 6: We Know What We Need

Market negotiations resumed at full speed in Bangkok, with new text being published after only one day of negotiations. Parties are feeling the pressure now that COP24 is looming. We’ve started the session by hearing lists of priorities for items that could not be postponed to 2019 (assuming that not all issues could be resolved at COP24). Two of these priorities stick out for ECO: the need to avoid double counting through corresponding adjustments for all international transfers, and the transition away from Kyoto Protocol Mechanisms to Article 6. This applies especially to avoiding double counting with ICAO’s CORSIA! ECO shares the view that these are crucial priorities if market mechanisms are to increase ambition, but one critical priority was missing. We need to ensure compliance with human rights and social safeguards to avoid the ghosts of the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) coming back to haunt us after 2020.

Now urgently need to operationalize rules in order to ensure that the new market mechanisms can start on the right foot and promote ambition in the Paris Agreement. After hearing Parties mention the transition from Kyoto Protocol (KP) mechanisms to Article 6 as a key priority, we were surprised when we discovered that there is no strict timeline to deal with the transition of these elements within the documents drafted by the co-chairs.
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And Here Comes the IPCC

It’s all well-known – the UNFCCC negotiations are progressing at a slow pace, the workload and delivery is lagging behind schedule, and the parties’ enthusiasm on rapid and early enhancing of ambition to meet the Paris objectives is hardly visible, particularly with the looming COP in Poland. But here comes the IPCC to the rescue – hopefully.

As we all know, as a result of the Paris negotiations in 2015, Parties commissioned the largest global climate science authority, the IPCC, to assess in a Special Report the feasibility of meeting the objective to limit global warming to 1.5°C, and what failing to meet the goal would entail. After two years of work by a large number of expert scientists, the report and particularly its Summary For Policymakers (SPM) will be negotiated and agreed upon in Korea by Parties in early October. By nature, the findings of the IPCC will have significant impacts on governments’ climate policies and domestic implementation, the Talanoa Dialogue and the necessary enhancement of the 2030 NDC. The question remains – which political impacts?

ECO has always defended the IPCC and its many products over the years as fundamental parts of advocating awareness and solutions to the global climate crisis.
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The Technology Mechanism and the Right Fit for Data

The beauty of the Technology Mechanism (TM) is that it has dozens of “TEC Briefs” on a large number of topics that can help countries understand which adaptation and mitigation technologies might be best for deployment in their own countries.

These TEC (Technology Executive Committee) Briefs are invariably based on data collected from sources such as Technology Needs Assessments and Climate Technology Centre and Network (CTCN) efforts that date back to as far as two decades and Technical Assistance that is given via the CTCN. In addition, the Technology Executive Committee (TEC) data might also be used to inform transparency and the Global Stocktake.

But here’s the rub. Despite decades of helpful data collection, the new TM transparency tool, the Periodic Assessment of the TM, is being designed in a way that turns more toward qualitative indicators and much less toward the quantitative data that is so helpful, for example, to identifying Transformational Technologies. In fact, the word “DATA” is nowhere to be found in the paper. This is a mistake of monumental importance. Informed by the Technology Framework it is understandable that LDCs and others need to conserve resources in the collection of data. But a serious plan for collecting both qualitative and quantitative information can be devised to minimize cost while retaining content.
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Annex to the Opening: Remember the Talanoa Dialogue

Four months have already passed since our last meeting, and ECO is glad to see you back in Bangkok. Something we did not hear in the Opening, which is a crucial point, there’s only three months until COP24. That is where the Talanoa Dialogue must end with a strong outcome calling on countries to step-up ambition of NDCs and support by 2020.

If the Paris Agreement is an aircraft, the rulebook is the engine – it requires a lot of technical knowledge and its reliability is crucial. ECO knows many technical experts came to Bangkok to prepare some of the necessary hard work on the engine and want to spend time in the machine room. But ambition and the Talanoa Dialogue are the wings of the aircraft. And only if they are big enough, will it fly. Ambition is part of the overall package that Parties need to deliver at the COP – surely this is something that Parties and COP Presidencies alike recognise.

The stories shared in Bonn lay the groundwork and can be explored further around the world, to learn from, and build on them when updating the national climate plans. ECO was glad to see many promising elements in the Summary Report such as the need to enhance ambition, references to the IPCC Special Report and the UNSG Summit as well as a call for increased cooperation.
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KP2 – Slow and Steady Just Won’t Do

Remember this table, Parties? It has changed slightly, but not nearly enough since Bonn. It is now too late for the second commitment period of the Kyoto Protocol (KP2) to enter into force by COP24 and the stocktake on pre-2020 implementation and ambition. Slow and steady just won’t do when we’re trying to honor and implement treaties to fight global disasters.

Thank you, Belize, Benin, Eritrea, and Niger, for ratifying the Doha Amendment to the Kyoto Protocol since we were all together last time. We still need 29 more Parties to join them and the other KP2 ratifiers in order to reach the threshold of ¾ of Parties to the KP to secure entry into force, however. Paradoxically, we find more than 29 candidates among some of those countries and groups most vocal about the urgent need for Doha ratification, as you can see from ECO’s helpful table.

In January 2018, non-ratifiers received letters from the Fiji COP President and the UNFCCC Executive Secretary, urging them to ratify the amendment. If your decision-makers have failed to see the relevance, please remind them that the Doha ratification will make it possible to hold developed countries accountable to their pre-2020 commitments, and that failure to ratify and implement the KP2 sets a worrying precedent for the Paris Agreement.
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ECO-Spectations for the Bangkok Session

Since Bonn SB48, we have not stopped asking ourselves how to go through all the confusion of co-facilitator notes, intertwined and interlinked between politics and technicalities. Admittedly, to escape negotiation purgatory as soon as possible, we were hoping to see a clean text with clear options, as a result of the Co-Chairs’ work feeding into Bangkok. This hope was not fulfilled by the Co-Chairs, and a lot of the heavy lifting still lies ahead of you, Parties. But you know what they say: no pain no gain. Together with the note by the Presiding Officers of the APA and the SBs, the APA tools can help provide an agreed basis and speed up the negotiations for all Paris Agreement work programme items, reflecting clear and streamlined options, and with sufficient details for the outcome of the session to be swiftly turned into a draft decision text.

ECO’s recommendations for Bangkok are simple: Keep calm and work on the implementation guidelines as if their robustness had direct implications for future heat waves, droughts, storms, losses of lives and livelihoods, and the destabilization of societies.

While the rules that you produce will be an important cornerstone of the COP24 outcome, to ensure real success, a collective ambition is crucial.
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Poland – Third Time’s a Charm?

We’re not going to lie: the pace of the negotiations must speed up dramatically to achieve the envisioned outcome at COP24.

Previously in UNFCCC history, when a process had to dramatically increase its pace, it needed bold and ambitious diplomatic leadership from the presidency. Because ECO believes it’s essential to deliver a successful outcome at COP24 we have a few suggestions   We’re talking extensive bilateral meetings, multiple ministerial consultations, and heads of delegation meetings in order to pave the way to a successful COP outcome.

There is a need for clear leadership and guidance to substantially advance the discussion here in Bangkok and enable progress on the Paris Agreement implementation guidelines, real and predictable climate finance, and the Talanoa Dialogue.

What does this mean in real terms? We’ve adopted everybody’s favorite format of guiding questions to start figuring it all out:

  • Success at COP24 is about the final outcome package, encompassing the rulebook, raising ambition, and scaling finance. What is the Polish Presidency’s vision for a successful COP24 package?
  • How will the presidency be using this week in Bangkok to lay the foundations for securing all the elements of a successful outcome?
  • Are there informal consultations planned to allow the Parties to voice their expectations around possible outputs from the Talanoa Dialogue?

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Building on the Legacy of COP21 and delivering the “Spirit of Paris”

The Paris Agreement was a critical milestone in many regards. Firstly, it created a universal framework mobilizing all states to contribute to urgent climate action in a transparent and equitable manner. Secondly, the Paris Agreement stressed the importance for climate action to build on the Parties’ existing human rights, social and environmental obligations, including those related to indigenous peoples’ rights, gender equality, public participation, ecosystem integrity and the protection of biodiversity, intergenerational equity, food security, and the importance of ensuring a just transition.

COP24 will take place as the United Nations celebrates the 70 anniversary of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights. Building on the Paris Agreement legacy and inviting Parties to consider good practices related to the incorporation of human rights in climate action will demonstrate that governments remain fully committed to this cornerstone of the UN.

As negotiators here in Bangkok work to define guidelines for climate action, they should also ensure that these social and environmental principles are fully integrated into the rulebook. Only then can the guidelines really deliver the full “Spirit of Paris.”

What Parties – including many of you – crafted in Paris, should not be undermined in Bangkok and Katowice. We know we can count on you not to let this happen.

Money mantras on the way to Bangkok

Wouldn’t you agree that sometimes the most satisfying results come from a slow but steady journey with unwavering commitment to what is right? ECO has seen negotiators make steady, – if slow – progress this session in clarifying their views and finding options to move us closer towards success at COP24. That is right, and  – what is also right is that parties need to deal with the crunch issues, – particularly finance.

 

The task for the next few months is huge: COP24 in Katowice must deliver the action package needed to put the Paris Agreement into full motion. As Parties prepare to continue negotiations in Bangkok, they could benefit from guidance from our Presidential Poles. The Polish Presidency needs to articulate its vision for COP24. A) Landing a robust rulebook which enables ambition. B) Ensuring that finance is flowing to enable climate action on the ground. And C) taking the Talanoa Dialogue to the next level so countries together signal that they will raise climate ambition by 2020.

 

But the UNFCCC process is not the only gig in town. There are a bunch of upcoming events which can make or break success at COP24.

 

  • At the Petersberg Dialogue and the Ministerial of Climate Action (MoCA), ministers need to deepen their understanding of how to craft a COP24 outcome which best supports the implementation of the Paris Agreement.

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