The cooks are all making their way back to the climate kitchen. The piping hot Global Stocktake (GST) decision served up at COP28 has cooled and been absorbed in all its essence – the sweet, the sour and the distinct unmissable hints of bitter. 

As we approach the mid-way point in this critical decade, the kitchen has a new dish to cook: The New Collective Quantitative Goal on Climate Finance (NCQG). It’s due to be served up this year, and is essential to bring substance to the perpetually sticky subject of climate finance. The nutrition from this dish will also be a key determinant of how the GST outcomes are turned into action in the next iteration of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), which countries are due to submit in 2025.

Finance is a necessary dimension that determines the scope and depth of climate action, so ECO would like to suggest the elements needed for a satisfying outcome this year.

The central dish in this year’s meal will be the NCQG. ECO would like to stress that a simplistic, linear approach would be insufficient to handle the heat of worsening climate impacts and the ever-increasing urgency for real, effective, and sustained action.
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ECO is delighted to have secured a precious badge for SB60, and is ready to bring you the unadorned straight talk that you won’t get from Parties.

 
From this position of privilege, ECO takes the opportunity to remind its dear readers that there is still no climate justice without human rights. Climate impacts are worsening by the day. Since we last met in Dubai, floods in Kenya and Brazil, record-breaking heat waves in India and other parts of South Asia, as well as an early wildfire season in North America have all affected a wide range of human rights – the rights to health, livelihoods and decent work, adequate housing and, most devastatingly, the right to life itself.

 
While the urgency of equitable and fair solutions to the climate crisis can no longer be ignored, countries keep fuelling the climate crisis by burning fossil fuels and engaging in activities leading to deforestation and forest or land degradation, and critical public finance remains all too scarce. ECO wonders why… Could it be because polluting industries are still in the room, but civil society – and that means people everywhere – have less and less space for speaking up, protesting and joining others to demand climate justice?
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CLIMATE ACTION NETWORK (CAN) STATEMENT ON GAZA

There is no climate justice without human rights.

Nowhere is safe in Gaza. Rafah is now under attack despite all of the warnings to Israel to not invade, from the UN, its agencies, governments and civil society across the world.  

Since the Israeli invasion of Rafah, hundreds more civilians have been killed, mainly women and children. This brings the total number of Palestinian deaths to over 35,000 so far, while the majority of Gaza’s 2.3 million residents have had to flee their homes.
Palestinians are facing a complete blockade, famine, disease, forced evacuations and destruction of all infrastructure. 

We will not be silent in the face of an unfolding genocide. 

The Climate Action Network (CAN) unequivocally condemns the invasion by Israel and demands an immediate and permanent ceasefire. 

CAN demands that Israel be held accountable for the war crimes it is committing. 
We call on the international community to take urgent and decisive action to ensure that Israel complies with all of the precautionary measures required by the International Court of Justice. 

CAN urges those countries supporting Israel through the supply of arms to comply with international law to prevent genocide. 

CAN therefore insists on an immediate international arms embargo against Israel and we will exert pressure for this. 
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MAFUTA YA MAFUTA AWAMU YA KUTOKA

HARAKA, HAKI, KAMILI NA KUFADHILIWA

Ndugu Rais wa COP28,

Ulipoalika ulimwengu kwa neema kuja Dubai kuhudhuria COP28, ulituhakikishia mara kwa mara kwamba Nyota yako ya Kaskazini itakuwa sayansi na hitaji kamili la kupunguza ongezeko la joto hadi 1.5°C. Ulituambia umejitolea kutoa “majibu ya kutamani zaidi” kwa shida ya hali ya hewa.

ECO inasikitika kukufahamisha kwamba maandishi mapya ya GST yaliyochapishwa jana yanafanya mzaha kwa madai haya. ECO ilitarajia kuona sehemu ya kukabiliana na rasimu mpya ikionyesha mwito wa wazi kutoka kwa sayansi na zaidi ya nchi 100 zinazotaka kuwepo kwa awamu kamili na ya haki kutoka kwa nishati ya mafuta. Badala yake, tulikuwa na menyu isiyofuatana, dhaifu na isiyoeleweka ya chaguo za nishati ambazo wahusika “zingeweza” kutekeleza na ambazo zimeondolewa mbali na kile kinachohitajika ili kupunguza ongezeko la joto hadi 1.5°C ambayo AOSIS tayari imeiita “cheti chake cha kifo”.

ECO ingependa kurudia ujumbe ulio wazi: COP yako itashindwa kabisa isipokuwa kama italinda makubaliano ya awamu kamili, ya haraka, ya haki na inayofadhiliwa kutoka kwa nishati ya visukuku. Uendeshaji wa hazina ya Hasara na Uharibifu ulikuwa mafanikio makubwa ya COP28, na kazi nyingine iliyosalia ya kuimarisha. Lakini njia pekee ya kuwasilisha COP ya kihistoria ni kupitia makubaliano ya wazi, yenye nguvu, yenye uwiano wa 1.5°C juu ya awamu ya kuondolewa kwa mafuta ambayo yamejikita katika haki na usawa.
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Watu wanaoendesha sarakasi huambia ECO kuwa ni baada ya onyesho, wakati kazi halisi inapoanza. Mahema yanapovunjwa, upangaji, mafunzo na kuangalia maelezo huanza mara moja ili onyesho linalofuata lifae hadhira yake.

Sote tulijua kuwa COP28 ndipo mfumo ulipaswa kuwa tayari. Lakini hakukuwa na juhudi sahihi katika kufanya kazi kwenye bidhaa hadi katikati ya mwaka huu. Na watoa maamuzi bado hawakuhusika kidogo. Kwa hiyo walipokuja kutazama hapa, ni kana kwamba walikuwa wamerudi mwanzo. Hebu ECO ikukumbushe, kwamba kwa watu waliokumbwa na mafuriko, waliokauka na ukame, waliosombwa na vimbunga, na hasa wale walio na rasilimali ndogo zaidi za kukabiliana na hali hiyo, Lengo la Kimataifa la Kukabiliana na Marekebisho (GGA) linamaanisha tofauti kati ya maisha na kifo.

Hatuwezi kuondoka COP28 bila matokeo yoyote kwenye GGA. Mfumo wa GGA lazima uwe na malengo madhubuti ya kiasi na ubora na ratiba ya matukio na kuungwa mkono na fedha na kuwiana na NCQG na ramani ya wazi ya utoaji wa fedha.

Ufadhili wa marekebisho ambao hauongezi mzigo wa deni lazima ufafanuliwe na uongezwe zaidi ya mara mbili kutoka kwa viwango vya malipo vya 2019. Ripoti ya Pengo la Kurekebisha ilitukumbusha kuwa kiwango cha ufadhili lazima kiongezwe kwa mara 10 hadi 18 kutoka viwango vya sasa. Urekebishaji lazima ujumuishwe katika NDCs pamoja na NAPs.
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Wachache miongoni mwenu wanaweza kujua kwamba ECO ni mtunzi wa muziki katika wakati wetu wa bure. Siku moja, wakati tukipigania awamu ya haki na ya usawa kutoka kwa nishati ya mafuta, na kwa ajili ya kufanya Mkataba wa Paris kuwa halisi katika kila sekta ya uchumi, ECO ilikuja na wazo la kuunda bendi ya rock. Nyimbo zetu zingehamasishwa na mapambano na nguvu za watu wote – wafanyakazi na jumuiya – ambao wamekuwa wakipigania haki zao na mabadiliko ya haki ambayo yanawaweka mbele na katikati. Jina la bendi yetu litakuwa JTWP (Programu ya Kazi kwenye Njia za Mpito Tu).

Vyama vilitupa baadhi ya vyombo vya muziki vya kuanzia (wigo unaojumuisha wafanyakazi na kazi zinazostahili, nyanja za kijamii, ushirikiano wa kimataifa, ushiriki) na tuna tempo sahihi (mazungumzo, mawaziri wa ngazi ya juu, maamuzi ya kila mwaka).

Lakini bado hatuwezi kuanza. Bado kuna kelele karibu nasi. Maandishi yaliyowekwa kwenye mabano kuhusu hatua za upande mmoja na haki za wafanyakazi hayajatatuliwa, na tunasikia wimbo wetu ikiwa hatuko pamoja.

Hatari ya bendi yetu kuvunjika kabla hata ya kucheza wimbo ni ya kweli, kwa hivyo ECO ina wasiwasi.

Je, Urais unasikia hitaji la dharura la kuwa na JTWP na kucheza na kuimba kwa nguvu juu ya kelele?
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Makini! Mawaziri, Wakuu wa Wawakilishi, na wanadiplomasia.

ECO ina ujumbe kwa ajili yako: Leo una nafasi ya kuweka historia. Au labda kesho. Au hata siku iliyofuata. Ikiwezekana kabla ya 2030, na kabla ya 2050.

Hii inaweza kuwa wiki ambayo serikali huweka historia katika Jiji la Dubai Expo. Siku zinazofuata zinaweza kuwa sehemu ya ugeuzaji ambayo itasaidia kuweka ulimwengu kwenye mstari kwa siku zijazo zaidi ya nishati ya kisukuku, inayoendeshwa na nishati mbadala, na joto la kimataifa likiwa na kikomo cha chini ya 1.5ºC. Hiyo iko mikononi mwako kabisa.

Lakini kuna uwezekano mwingine. Tayari tunaona muhtasari wa uwezekano huo sasa, huku vimbunga vikiendelea na moto wa nyika ukiwaka. Hiyo ndiyo njia tunayohatarisha ikiwa utakubali menyu iliyojaa panya waliokufa, hiyo ni aya ya 39 ya jana usiku ya maandishi ya rasimu ya GST, na hivyo kushindwa kukubaliana na awamu ya haraka, ya usawa na inayofadhiliwa ya kuondolewa kwa nishati ya visukuku. Inaweza kuhudumia masilahi yaliyo madarakani na mabilionea kwa sasa, lakini haitahudumia watu wa nchi yako – na haitakuhudumia kwa muda mrefu sana.

ECO ingependa kuwakumbusha Mawaziri kwamba sayansi iko wazi: malengo ya Mkataba wa Paris yanaweza kupatikana tu kupitia awamu kamili ya uzalishaji na matumizi ya mafuta, makaa ya mawe na gesi.
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Ni mwisho wa mwaka na kwa wengi, Krismasi iko hewani. ECO ilitamani COP28 hii itoe nyenzo, ili kuzama kwa kina katika kile kinachohitajika na cha dharura katika kila kipengele cha Ajenda ya Dubai: kutoka kwa Hazina ya Upotevu na Uharibifu yenye ufanisi na inayoaminika hadi mfumo wa kutosha wa kifedha na urekebishaji na ishara wazi na isiyo na shaka ya kukomesha. enzi ya mafuta.

Baada ya miaka 200 ya uharibifu usiopimika na faida bandia za tasnia ya mafuta, yote haya yanaonekana kuwa sawa. Lakini inaonekana kama Grinch (au ni mshawishi wa mafuta ya visukuku aliyejificha?) ananong’ona kwa karibu na kwa sauti kubwa katika masikio ya mpatanishi. Tena cream hutolewa nje ya keki. Rafu tupu. Nyumba tupu. Dutu hii imechukuliwa kutoka kwa Mpango wa Utekelezaji wa Jinsia, NCQG, na huenda isipatikane kwenye GGA.

Lakini kuna miale ya mwanga (…na ninahisi kama nimefika nyumbani sasa hivi…Na nikahisi…) tunapofungua dirisha, na ni kuhusu msisitizo wa Waziri wa Mazingira wa Colombia kuweka suala gumu la kubadilisha. uchumi wetu na kuhama kutoka kwa uraibu wetu wa nishati ya visukuku katika kila mazungumzo. Inahisi kama maombi ya mema. Baada ya miaka 200, miale itaangazia mchakato wa Mkataba wa Kuzuia Uenezi wa Mafuta ya Kisukuku. Lakini ngoja, hilo lingewezekana?
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GGA INAMAANISHA TOFAUTI KATI YA UHAI NA MAUTI KWA WALIO KATIKA MAZINGIRA MASHARTI.