Category: Previous Issues Articles

Voices From the Front Lines

Hajji Mohamed used to make a living as a rice farmer on the fertile soil of Bhola Island in Southern Bangladesh. He’d saved enough in the 1980s to get to Mecca for the pilgrimage and looked forward to providing for his family in the years to come. But disaster struck in May 1997 when Mohamed and his family were caught in a devastating cyclone. They survived but their home and farm had been swept away.

For Mohamed, cyclones had become part of his life, and he was able to rebuild and start over. But from 2000 onwards, high tides and cyclones became more frequent around the island. Nearly every year, Mohamed’s family was forced to relocate as the soil became too salty for growing his crops. Floodwater rushing down from the distant glaciers melting in the Himalayas posed yet another peril. Great swathes of land fell into the river and time and time again Mohamed was forced to move inland. When I met him early last year he was destitute. His community uprooted, his family dispersed to the slums of Dhaka and Chittagong with their own troubles, Mohamed was alone and begging for food from people hardly better off than himself.


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Eating Away at the Paris Agreement

“I am so hungry”, ECO told itself as it went out of Mazowsze Plenary room. All that talk about transparency reminded ECO of the hole in its stomach. ECO had reached its common time frame for nourishment, having not eaten for more than four hours. ECO was craving some plant-based locally sourced food to silence the growling belly.

ECO spotted the Grab and Go right across the hall. It was salivating for a salad with Polish cabbage, tomatoes and potatoes, and a freshly pressed carrot juice to go with it. And for dessert a banana and an almond milk cappuccino. ECO was happy to know that those plant-based food choices would help mitigate the growing emissions from the agriculture sector, which are projected to reach 52% of global emissions by 2050.

ECO joyfully set itself in the queue to order, but as it arrived to the front, a full platter of baguettes filled with sausage slices occupied half of the shelf. The rest of the menu was overwhelmingly meat based. The cafeteria cuisine wasn’t any better. “Vegetable broth with bulgur groats it is!”.

Later that evening, as ECO entered the Spodek arena for the much anticipated COP24 Welcome Party, it noted the same meat-loving theme: Sausages with ribs and sausages with a side of sausage.


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Equity in the Global Stocktake – Good Text. Let’s Improve It, Not Lose It

Fortunately, the Saudis aren’t in charge of the Global Stocktake. ECO notes this because yesterday Saudi Arabia, speaking for the Arab Group, called for the term “ambition mechanism” to be deleted from the GST text. Why? Because apparently this would pre-judge the outcome of the GST (see also, Fossil of the Day). As if the whole point of the GST wasn’t to drive the ambition mechanism.

In any case, this view clearly isn’t shared by all developing countries, many of whom are submitting good and useful text. Here are some nice examples:

  • “Equity will inform how Parties will consider fairness and ambition,”The explicit statement makes it clear that equity isn’t just a matter of process, but rather comes down to how parties perceive that they are making appropriately ambitious contributions to the global transition to climate resilient, low carbon societies.
  • The GST will “identify gaps in collective progress and how they could be addressed in the light of equity and the best available science, as well as lessons learned and good practices.”This one makes it crystal clear that we’re talking operational text here, and that the GST would result in concrete outputs that Parties take home and apply to increase their ambition over time – the core point of the ambition mechanism.

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It’s Not Sufficient to Avert and Minimise if We Forget to Address

Yesterday we were treated to the draft decision text of the report of the Executive Committee (Ex-Com) of the Warsaw International Mechanism (WIM) for Loss and Damage associated with Climate Change Impacts. The report starts off well, highlighting the forthcoming review of the WIM, seeking inputs to the terms of reference for the review, and reminding everyone of the importance of the IPCC special report on 1.5oC. Sadly, that’s where the positives cease. But ECO thinks it might have a suggestion on how to improve the text.

But first, a slight detour: At many previous COPs, negotiators have struggled to come to terms with the fact that Loss and Damage is separate from adaptation. Amazingly some WIM Ex Com members attempted to subsume Loss and Damage under Adaptation, despite the fact that it is a separate article in the Paris Agreement. This would ignore the plight of the millions of people already facing the irreversible consequences of climate change; for many of them it is already too late for adaptation. The IPCC 1.5 report has confirmed that loss and damage is a real problem, with substantial evidence of the impacts, causalities and attributions.

Maybe the problem with loss and damage is that negotiators are too focussed on two of the three tasks from the Paris Agreement, namely to avert and to minimize – but somehow forgot the third one, to address?


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Fossil of the Day

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Saudi ArabiaOn Behalf of the Arab Group

It’s great to be consistent – reliable is good, right? Seems old habits die hard, especially if your allies keep the door open for you …

So, given that we are at COP 24, it is no shock that there are some offenders that keep on coming back.

This Fossil award is for the most consistent, insistent and persistent voice undermining ambition in the negotiations so far this week – Saudi Arabia. On Tuesday, an intervention by Saudi Arabia on behalf of the Arab Group, summarized their overall approach.

In the session on the Global Stocktake, Saudi Arabia, called for deletion of the term “ambition mechanism” in the preamble to the Global Stocktake text on the grounds that it pre-judges the outcome of the GST. The IPCC SR 1.5 and the entire Paris Agreement makes it clear that we need much more climate ambition if we are to meet the agreement’s long-term objectives.

Saudi efforts to undermine ambition don’t stop there. Saudi Arabia (speaking for like-minded developing countries or LMDCs for those not in the know) opposes agreement on any new information for NDCs to promote Clarity, Transparency and Understanding, and supports a“no text”outcome.


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Switzerland Astray: Parliament Decides to Kill the Domestic Reduction Target

ECO still cannot believe what happened in Switzerland earlier this week! While we all listened carefully to President Alain Berset’s opening speech on Monday, reminding everyone (in particular his MPs it seems) that“we can only succeed […] if all states – really all – reduce their emissions”,his Parliament back home almost simultaneously decided to abolish the domestic emission reduction target for the period 2020-2030!

Yes, you read correctly: Switzerland may have no target for domestic CO2- emissions reduction past 2020! ECO wonders what’s happening in the small but pristine and wealthy land of milk and honey (ahem.. chocolate) behind the Alps!

Wasn’t Switzerland the first country in the world to announce an ambitious INDC well ahead of Paris? And isn’t the Swiss delegation known for their persistent push on a robust transparency framework, strict criteria (“same for all!”) and a mechanism to continuously increase mitigation ambition?

Perhaps ECO isn’t alone having fallen for a slightly distorted picture of a seemingly progressive, clean and (self- proclaimed “recycling champion”) country. Time to lift the curtain of cheese and fondue:

Indeed, Switzerland announced in early 2015 its INDC of a reduction by 50% of CO2 emissions by 2030 (compared to 1990). But what the Swiss government did not mention back then is the intention to achieve almost half of it abroad.


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Top Tips For Delicious Climate Accounting Finance

How would you like your accounting, readers? Consistent, well done, and accurate? (In that case I’d recommend our MDB special.)

Or maybe you’d like a loan soufflé? Or perhaps lots of different methods all mixed together – with sprinkles of figures plucked from the air (for the climate component of aid programmes)?

Seriously though, accounting rules are important, as this is what will incentivise good quality climate finance.

The SCF and the OECD both delivered reports this week. They gave us some figures, which sound very nice, but when we looked a bit closer they seem inflated. And there are worrying trends on adaptation, and on flows to LDCs.

We have some top tips:

  • Measure what matters: We need to encourage more spending on adaptation. Both the OECD and the SCF show that this is still underfunded. No more than one quarter of climate finance, which is far from the Paris Agreement’s stating that “provision of resources should also aim to achieve a balance between adaptation and mitigation”.
  • Furthermore, the need to keep track of how much goes to LDCs. The OECD forgot. Standing Committee on Finance said this was only 24%, and 2% to SIDS. Grant-equivalent accounting: We’d also recommend you account for the climate finance that developing countries pay back to donor countries – those South-North flows – because loan repayments are not captured at the moment.

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Make Human Rights and the Rulebook a Happy Family for Christmas

As the weather gets colder and Parties work to make a complete rulebook, the spirit of the Paris Agreement — the eight rights based principles included in the Paris preamble are looking forward to being part of that happy family.

How do their chances look? Advocates argue that effective implementation of the Paris Agreement requires people to be at the centre of all climate decisions-making processes and actions. Parties must include the following fundamental elements throughout their implementation guidelines: human rights, indigenous peoples’ rights, public participation, gender equality, just transition, food security, ecosystem integrity, protection of biodiversity, and intergenerational equity.

But some feel their presence in the Paris preamble is enough to allow them to thrive in climate action around the world, or that mere reference to the preamble in the Rulebook would be enough or that maybe just one or two of the principles need to be included.

Including human rights language within the Rulebook itself will help Parties develop and implement the effective climate action needed to stay below 1.5oC. Ultimately, this is what the Rulebook is about: giving guidelines to Parties, to help them to put general principles into concrete steps for necessary climate actions.

We were pleased to see many of the rights have a home in the current text in APA agenda item 3 on the planning processes of NDCs, but we are wondering why some elements are still left behind.


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Takeaways for a Successful Talanoa

The purpose of the Talanoa Dialogue is to take stock of the collective efforts of Parties in relation to progress towards the long-term goal of peaking GHG emissions as soon as possible and achieve net zero emissions by mid-century, in order to limit global warming to 1.5°C. The outcome of the Dialogue shall also “inform” the preparation of countries’ nationally determined contributions.

The IPCC SR1.5 makes clear that the world is not on track to limit warming anywhere near 1.5°C. The only conclusion that can be drawn from this exercise is that the current level of ambition is woefully inadequate. In Katowice, Parties must correct course, by agreeing on six key elements of a COP decision on Ambition.

To help negotiators stay on track, ECO has put together a helful pocket checklist:

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12 Years Left: What Have You Done to Respond to the SR1.5?

ECO was blown away by the SBSTA-IPCC presentation yesterday. The IPCC started off with a presentation that not only woke up weary delegates in the plenary but also woke them up (if they had somehow missed it previously) to the urgency of the need to act. The IPCC stressed that if Parties want to stay below 1.5°C and cut CO2 emissions in half by 2030, immediate action on every level is needed. They cannot start in 2029. Each year matters, just as each tenth of a degree does as well.

Some Parties questioned the feasibility of these scenarios. The SR1.5 report contains a number of pathways that could be followed to limit warming to 1.5°C, some being riskier than others. Ultimately, however, feasibility is not a question the IPCC can answer as it comes down to political will.

In terms of responding to the SR1.5, ECO expects to see the growth of political will throughout these two weeks, as negotiators streamline the text for the rulebook and when Ministers arrive to set the course to strengthen NDCs. Pursuing the most ambitious pathway to limit warming to 1.5°C has several co-benefits for people, biodiversity and future generations, and should be the moral imperative for any leader on this planet.