ECO Newsletter Blog

12 Years Left: What Have You Done to Respond to the SR1.5?

After a year of telling stories and sharing experiences, the Talanoa Dialogue came to an end yesterday. While the talking may have stopped, the need to act more decisively remains.

The purpose of the Talanoa Dialogue was two-fold: to take stock of the collective efforts of Parties in relation to progress towards the long- term goal and to inform the preparation of their NDCs. It is clear from the IPCC SR1.5 that current mitigation pledges are insufficient to limit global warming to 1.5°C. In other words, we are a long way from our collective goal.

ECO appreciates all the hard work the Fijians have put into making the Talanoa Dialogue a success. We hope that the call to action issued by the Presidents today will motivate people around the world to act now. Nonetheless, it alone is insufficient. The second task – to inform the preparation of their NDCs – must be a key focus of all Parties in 2019. The extent of damage caused by each additional 0.1°C of warming should be enough to spur Parties into action. However, ECO knows you all so well and recognizes that Parties may need a bit more prompting, so here we go: a COP24 decision which reiterates Parties’ commitment to strengthen their NDCs by 2020 (remember paras 23/24 of 1/ CP.21?)
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Equity — Into the Future

Soon, as we all know, the horse trading will get serious. But though ECO can only stand on the sidelines and shout advice, here we go: A short term compromise that hobbles our long-term prospects would be a disaster, and must be avoided at all costs. This is true across the spectrum of critical issues – from finance to loss & damage – but it’s true in particular when it comes to the Global Stocktake, which is critical to the legitimacy of the regime and – in particular – critical to the effective functioning of the ambition mechanism.

When the smoke clears, if we’re to respect the clear Paris mandate for a meaningful stocktake that is conducted “in the light of Equity,” the related modalities must ensure that equity—for example how parties consider their contributions to be fair and ambitious—is considered across all items. Ensuring Observers’ inputs into the stocktake can help in getting this right, especially since they aren’t subject to the same constraints as Parties, who aren’t always able to speak freely. Civil society can—as will be obvious to anyone who attends today’s side event on the new report from the Civil Society Equity Review coalition (hint: 3PM, Wisla).


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ECO Welcomes New Ambition Coalition to Fight for COP Decision on Ambition

ECO welcomes the High Ambition Coalition declaration released yesterday in a packed EU Pavilion. ECO is looking forward to these countries making strong statements in the negotiations shaping the COP decision outcome on ambition.

Argentina, Canada, Colombia, Costa Rica, Denmark, Ethiopia, EU Commission, Fiji, Finland, France, Germany, Grenada, Italy, Jamaica, Luxembourg, Macedonia, Marshall Islands, Mexico, Monaco, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Portugal, Saint Lucia, Spain, Sweden, UK…

Welcomes the IPCC special report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5 °C;

Notes with grave concern the significant gap between the aggregate effect of Parties’ Nationally Determined Contributions and aggregate emission pathways consistent with having a likely chance of holding the increase in global average temperature to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels;

Welcomes the Call to Action by the COP23 and COP24 Presidents from the Talanoa Dialogue;

Recalls paragraphs 23 and 24 of decision 1/CP.21 for Parties whose Nationally Determined Contribution contains a time frame up to 2025 to communicate a new Nationally Determined Contribution by 2020 and for Parties whose, Nationally Determined Contribution contains a time frame up to 2030 to communicate or update these contributions by 2020;

Invites Parties to initiate or intensify domestic preparations to review and step up their Nationally Determined Contributions, informed by the outcomes of the Talanoa Dialogue, in a manner that facilitates the clarity, transparency and understanding of the contributions and reflects the Part’y’s highest possible ambition, reflecting its common but differentiated responsibilities and respective capabilities, in the light of different national circumstances;

Urge developed country Parties to step up their actions to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions and to increase technology, finance and capacity building support to enable increased mitigation and adaptation ambition by developing country Parties, addressing any gaps in such support, and underlines the importance of achieving the goal of collectively mobilising US$100 billion annually by 2020.


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Voices From the Front Lines

After her wedding, Sahia moved in with her husband and father-in-law to her new home in Singpur – a riverside village in Bangladesh, only a couple of hundred kilometers from the capital, Dhaka. She had been living there for a year when she witnessed her first home collapsing into the river. Riverbank erosion usually happens slowly, but occasionally a larger chunk of land suddenly falls into the water. When she noticed the deep cracks in the ground, she started carrying out her family’s belongings to safety. A few hours later, the house vanished.

Sahia and her family moved in with her husband’s uncle for a while. But it was not long before his house was swallowed by the river too. ‘’We then moved into an abandoned house, but are still living too close to the river,’’ Sahia tells me in a worried voice.

Sahia’s husband was a fisherman and the family got by on what he managed to catch. One day, everything changed. “My husband used to catch fish, but when the fish got some disease, he had to stop fishing…. Nowadays, there is hardly any fish left in the river”, tells Sahia.

Once their main income stopped sustaining them, the family was forced to change their livelihood.


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Tap 46 Million Times

Over the past eight days, ECO was quite pleased to hear that all negotiators seem to agree on the added value of the Adaptation Fund (AF). Quick reminder: the AF is a successful institution with well-functioning governance which provides full-cost grant financing to small-scale concrete adaptation activities. It is focused on the most vulnerable populations, very often through direct access for developing country institutions. This is exactly the kind of adaptation funding we need — and we need much, much more of it!.

ECO was surprised that some developed country Parties are pushing to have additional seats on the Fund’s Board for contributors. Though strangely, these are the same Parties opposing a decision encouraging contributions. But contributors who are willing to engage in the Fund’s Board can easily do so through the seats assigned to their region or constituency. Why change something that works?

For ECO, one thing seems very obvious: there is a need to take a clear decision here in Katowice to secure the Fund’s future serving the Paris Agreement. And there is no need to change the AF’s well-functioning model.

The AF does not need changes to its operating model – but it will need sustainable, adequate and predictable resources to operate.


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Word Search Challenge: Find Human Rights

ECO has been searching the text of (former) APA agenda items and other PAWP agenda items (we’re looking at you, Article 6) for mentions of human rights and was dismayed to find these references few and far between. It seems that somewhere on the way to Katowice, Parties have forgotten entirely about their commitment to rights even though they have all signed on to at least one human rights agreement, not to mention the Paris Agreement. Is there an amnesia epidemic?

As ECO has pointed out, a respect for human rights, Indigenous Peoples’ rights, gender equality, public participation, just transition, ecosystem integrity and protection of biodiversity, food security, and intergenerational equity should drive the implementation of the Paris Agreement. Efforts to address climate change shouldn’t violate people’s rights or destroy the environment. Respecting and protecting rights goes hand in hand with climate actions and will enhance it, not impede it. Market mechanisms are no exception. They should respect rights, protect the environment, serve people and create (co-)benefits, not the opposite.

In its word search, ECO was pleased to see human rights references in Article 6, but this joy was brief upon realizing that every mention was in brackets. Parties seem to be questioning what human rights have to do with carbon markets.


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Fossil of the Day

They thought they could hide behind the soot and smog of Katowice, but not today! Let’s welcome back Australia to the scoreboard – where have you been?

The Aussies are big on transparency and have a robust system of greenhouse gas accounting and reporting on emissions at home, which is why we know they have had four years of rising emissions after scrapping a successful emissions trading system. So how will they meet their target?

Through carbon credits, of course! While their neighbour New Zealand came out this week and announced they will not use Kyoto Assigned Amount Units (AAUs) to meet their Paris target, Australia has remained silent in transparency and accounting in anticipation of using its hundreds of millions of credits to meet its target in a canter.

Let’s be clear: Australia is not interested in reducing emissions. It saddled up to the Trump sideshow on coal to promote its fossil fuel exports as well as Carbon Capture and Storage technology. At home, its Energy Minister is fast tracking plans to use taxpayer dollars to build new coal-fired power stations!

So, welcome back, Australia – don’t you think it is finally time to wake up and smell the smog?

The Arab World’s Diamond in the Rough

So far, it is safe to say that the Arab Group has not covered itself with climate ambition glory in Katowice. With Saudi Arabia at its helm, the Arab Group has been fighting fiercely to strip the impending COP decision of ambition, notably by refusing to recognize the importance of the IPCC Special Report on 1.5°C.

However, against all odds, a little Arab country is standing up to its bigger and richer brothers by refusing to reject the science.

In a somewhat unnoticed intervention during the Talanoa Dialogue, the Lebanese delegation declared that it “strongly welcomes” the IPCC report and committed to both revise its NDCs and develop a long-term decarbonisation strategy by 2020.

The head of delegation concluded their story by stating that “ambition is contagious, so let’s spread it!” ECO hopes that some of this ambition will pollinate other Arab countries. It won’t have to travel far…

A Few Transparent Comments

We’re nearing the end and we’re not quite sure how much progress you’ve made in advancing the transparency negotiations. So we won’t take so much of your time, we just want to provide a couple of comments on the important issues in the transparency discussions.

  • ECO is quite concerned with the proliferation of “encouragement” in the transparency text instead of ‘should’ or ‘shall’ requirements. Having strong transparency rules is a way to increase ambition and that is something we all ‘shall’ do!
  • Flexibility and providing support are key to facilitating improved reporting and transparency over time – and that’s the goal, right? Flexibility should be provided to those Parties that do not have the requisite capacity, but, once Parties have the capacity, they should no longer use flexibility. Improvement plans are a great tool to help Parties plan to build their capacity over time.
  • It is important to transition to the Paris Agreement’s enhanced transparency framework as soon as possible. ECO suggests that the first biennial transparency reports should be submitted in 2022 in order to inform the first Global Stocktake and to show the rest of the world that you are moving forward and building momentum for the Paris system.

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