5 is the magic number

Currently missing from the draft ADP decision text is one of the most important elements that needs to be agreed if Paris is to avoid locking us into a high carbon world until 2030.

Options for commitment period length, including the all-important 5 years, are rightly expressed in the ADP non-paper. However, the crucially important common implementation deadline of 2025 for the INDCs is currently missing from the draft decision text’s Annex on common elements for reporting on INDCs. A deadline of 2025 also needs to be included in the decision text itself; para 9 could be a suitable home.

As a complement to language on 2025 and 5-year commitment period cycles, the decision text should also request the IPCC to produce an assessment report with a 5-year time cycle so as to provide the most up-to-date information to inform each round of commitments.

Since INDCs are presumably the basis for the first commitment period, the absence of this common element could lead to a free-for-all that would make a multilateral effort to avoid the worst impacts of climate change far more difficult.